Posts Tagged ‘Pnoy Aquino’


There seems to be a firewall between the Philippine economy and the political sphere such that the economy can still grow (GNP- and GDP-wise) even if the political situation is messy.

This may mean two things: there is a learning process in earnest and that previous key economic reforms have born fruit.

Despite the current non-achieving and blame-duck presidency, despite the thieving GMA and Erap administrations, our economy has grown nonetheless. Of course, OFW remittances played a great role in this spurt.

Nonetheless, pace Lord John Maynard Keynes, so-called ‘animal spirits’ also got into play.

Perceptions become material force. The impression that this non-achieving administration is seriously fighting corruption (Exhibits A–: SC Court Justice Renato Corona, hospital-arrested PGMA, Tanda, Sexy and Pogi) had induced vigorous bourse activity. After all, portfolio managers will not shun any profit possibility.

Note too that this TUWID administration is trigger-happy to clear its own ilk starting with DILG USec R Puno to ExecSec Ochoa to SecDILG and Liberal Party SecGen Joseph Abaya, SecDA Alcala, SecDoE Petilla, and last but not least, SecDBM Butch Abad) of all hints of corruption.

Perhaps this President and his rah-rah boys (Coloma, Lacierda, and Valte) must be reminded of the separation of powers; that the executive is not the judiciary.

Credit must be given to where credit is due. The Ramos-Almonte duo locked the country into difficult and relatively-unpopular economic reforms (at a conjunctural moment) in the 1992-1998 span. Key reforms were the WTO treaty accession and related trade reforms. Another is the decontamination of the new Bangko Sentral from the toxic Central Bank of the Philippines.

The GMA and Pnoy administrations should acknowledge their debts to the Ramos reforms.

Of course, no presidential administration is not without its own achievements, weakness, shortcomings, lapses, etc. Every administration after Ferdinand Marcos is hobbled not only with human weakness, foibles, and imperfections but also by the constitutionally-mandated single term.

For this reason, almost all post-Marcos administrations, save for the Ramos presidency, simply had short-term, rather than strategic, planning horizons.

Legitimacy problems prevented PGMA from making full use of an unprecedented extended term (2001-2010).

I will not say much about the short-lived Erap presidency except to assert that Erap is obviously in his element as LGU chief executive.

The current presidency has yet to step down on June 30, 2016 and it’s too early to come up with a definitive judgment of its true worth. My own words about it now and in the past are at best mere impressions, or, simply my educated personal opinion.

I promise to continue studying this administration in a comparative perspective not only with previous Philippine presidencies (Ferdinand Marcos’ included) but with those of our neighbors in Southeast Asia and East Asia (China specially).

Beyond analysis, I will also essay or propose reforms for our political economy. In this regard, the interests of our people and nation will be held paramount, superior to any political administration, party, group, personality, and vested interest.

These praxiological pieces will find their way into my several outlets (FB, Tweeter, Tumblr, LinkedIn, Pinterest, Instagram, Skype, Mixx, StumbleUpon, my WordPress blogs, speaking engagements and academic interventions, among others).

I will want to hear from you in every which way and you can reach me through ammendozajr@gmail.com

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Vice President Jejomar 'Jojo' Binay

Vice President Jejomar ‘Jojo’ Binay

 

 

Vice President Jejomar “Jojo” Binay has a commanding lead and will emerge the winner in Metro Manila if presidential elections were to be held today, a survey conducted by Novo Trends PH showed. From the same survey, President Benigno Aquino III and Senator Grace Poe, if they run, can be considered to be in a position to make a serious winning bid for presidency in the 2016 presidential elections.

 

VP Binay, in first place, got 29.3 percent voter preference. President Aquino and Senator Poe are statistically tied at second/third place with 13.1 percent voter preference and 11.8 percent voter preference, respectively. Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago is all alone at fourth place (7.9%). The 5th-9th places are statistically shared by Senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos (5.1%), Senator Francis “Chiz” Escudero (4.6%), Davao Mayor Rodrigo Duterte (3.6%), DILG Secretary Manuel “Mar” Roxas (3.4%), and Senator Alan Peter Cayetano (3.4%). Former Senator Manuel “Manny” Villar is at 10th place with 2.1% voter preference.

 

The survey was conducted from October 24-25, 2014 among 1,600 respondents in the National Capital Region (NCR). It has a ± 3 percent margin of error. Other factors included in the survey are specific standing at the city level, and voter preference in relation to wealth status and educational level.

 

The Novo Trends PH, Inc., is a newcomer in the social research scene in the Philippines. Its president, Carmelita N. Ericta, former head of the National Statistics Office (NSO) said, “Novo Trends PH specializes in the collection and analysis of social, political, economic, and business data. This particular survey represents a test activity for the company and represents our contribution to a more solid appreciation by the public and the stakeholders of the 2016 presidential elections.”

 

 

 

Ms. Ericta disclosed that Novo Trends PH is composed of highly-regarded experts and professionals who are well-versed in this line of work. She herself, before her recent retirement, was the Civil Registrar General of the Philippines and Chairperson of the Committee on Statistics of the UN Economic and Social Commission (UN-ESCAP). She is joined in Novo Trends PH by Dr. Amado Mendoza, Jr., eminent professor in the UP Political Science Department, and Mr. Ramon Casiple, well-known political analyst.

 

Novo Trends PH has a pool of experts that can be mobilized to provide consultancy services on its various areas of concern. Right now, it is undertaking commissioned and non-commissioned political surveys and consultancies in relation to the 2016 Philippine national and local elections. However, Ms. Ericta said that the company “will also undertake political risk, economic, and business analyses, issue general and specific situationers, maintain a databank and library, in cooperation with select domestic and international institutions, and provide consultancy services on political, economic, social, and business concerns.”

 

Ms. Ericta further said that, “Novo Trends PH will focus on the Philippines but will also cover ASEAN, particularly with the impending ASEAN integration, and will cover international trends as they affect Asian and Philippine developments.”

 

 

References/Resource Persons:

 

Prof. Amado M. Mendoza, Jr., Ph.D.                           Mobile: 0920 9477690

Ramon C. Casiple                                                                 Mobile: 0916 3690182